← Grand Archive Regional - Hideout

Wind SeiryuuTier 1

at Grand Archive Regional - Hideout

decks
18 (7.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
180 89-70-21
overall winrate
55.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.3% avg ELO +0.4 per match
expected value
54.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1301 · median 1317 · range 1003–1590 (18 pilots with an ELO rating)
905 Q1 1182 Q3 1372 1685
28% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 22% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Rile 52.4% 71 36-27-8 56.3% 56.0% 54.0% +1.4
Fire Crux Mage 12.4% 14 9-4-1 67.9% 63.9% 55.6% +2.3
Fire Suzaku 12.0% 14 6-8-0 42.9% 44.4% 43.2% -2.8
Wind Shadowstrike 8.0% 13 3-5-5 42.3% 44.1% 36.4% -5.7
Water Allies 5.6% 11 6-4-1 59.1% 56.7% 53.0% +1.3
Fire Aggro 5.2% 8 4-4-0 50.0% 50.0% 43.7% -3.0
Fire Luxem Assassin 5.2% 5 5-0-0 100.0% 77.8% 80.5% +17.5
Horse and Taxes 4.8% 5 4-1-0 80.0% 66.7% 60.8% +6.2
Fire Exia 4.0% 7 2-2-3 50.0% 50.0% 49.5% -0.3
Water Genbu 3.6% 5 0-3-2 20.0% 33.3% 31.2% -10.9
Fire Firebloom Burn 2.8% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 54.0% +2.6
Fire Umbra Guardian 2.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 37.5% -12.0
Water Astra Ranger 2.0% 0
Water Fractal 2.0% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 48.3% -1.7
Wind Allies 2.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.6% -5.5
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.0% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 42.8% -6.9
Fire Crux Lorraine 1.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.0% +9.6
Fire Suited 1.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.9% -16.1
Fire Arcane 1.2% 5 3-2-0 60.0% 55.6% 50.7% +0.4
Fire Oblation 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.5% -7.2
Fire Slimes 0.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.9% +19.0
Water Aetherwing 0.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.5% -16.8
Water Umbra Guardian 0.8% 3 3-0-0 100.0% 71.4% 72.2% +16.6
Fire Aetherwing 0.4% 0
Slimes 0.4% 0
Water Astra Cleric 0.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.1% +8.2
Wind Astra Cleric 0.4% 0
Wind Cats 0.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.6% +12.1
Wind Diana 0.4% 0
Wind Umbra Diana 0.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.5% -16.9
Decklists · 18 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 32 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 32 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Reclaim -0.50 0 1 0
Shimmercloak Assassin -0.50 0 1 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -0.50 0 1 0
Staggering Strike -0.50 0 1 1
Forest Cake -0.50 0 1 1
Stifling Trap +0.50 1 0 1
Sunblessed Gazelle +0.50 1 0 1
Winds of Destiny +0.50 1 0 0
Fluffy Shopkeep -0.50 0 1 0
Harness Lightning -0.50 0 1 1
Nullifying Lantern +0.50 1 0 0
Trained Hawk -0.50 0 1 0
Bestial Frenzy -0.50 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet +0.50 1 0 1
Brisk Windtrotter -0.50 0 1 1
Nullifying Mirror -0.50 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +0.50 1 0 1
Byakko's Command +0.50 1 0 1
Regal Inquisition +0.50 1 0 1
Cleansing Reunion +0.50 1 0 0
Expose Darkness +0.50 1 0 0
Pride's Vanguard -0.50 0 1 0
Scout the Land -0.50 0 1 0
Sovereign Sanctuary +0.50 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs -0.50 0 1 0
Spellward Scepter +0.50 1 0 0
Resolute Stand +0.00 1 1 0
Veiling Breeze +0.00 1 1 0
Beseech the Winds +0.00 1 1 0
Eternal Magistrate +0.00 1 1 0
Crystallized Destiny +0.00 1 1 0
Annul Spell +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/33077/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu